Hawaii vs Utah State 10/23/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Hawaii winning 53% of simulations, and Utah State 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Hawaii commits fewer turnovers in 41% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Utah State wins 63% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bryant Moniz is averaging 376 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. Robert Turbin is averaging 99 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UTST +3

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